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Weather Wise-August 2022

published: August 5th 2022
by: Brian Bledsoe

I will have chatted with many of you at the 2022 Beef Cattle Short Course, but wanted to give you a peek at what the latest models are saying for the rest of 2022. 


NMME Model Precipitation Forecast


September














October



















November



















December



















EURO Seasonal Precipitation Forecast


September










October












November












December



You can see that both models have roughly the same forecast. The potential for some tropical storm/hurricane rain early in the fall, and then both models turn sharply drier. This is not surprising, given we are still very much in a La Niña, and it may intensify as we head into the fall and early winter. The graphic below shows the probabilities that we’ll remain in La Nina, for the next several months…



You can see that there is a greater than 50% chance that we’ll remain in La Niña through December, January, February. I actually think that probability is a bit low, but we’ll see how it pans out. 



 

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