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Weather Wise

published: February 20th 2020
by: Brian Bledsoe

Last 30 days and latest JAMSTEC Model Forecast

The last 30 days have certainly been better for many areas, but other areas didn’t do as well. The map below shows precipitation anomaly in inches. You can clearly see who has been doing well with the moisture lately.
    Parts of deep South Texas have been the most dry lately and that trend continues. Areas farther north and east have done pretty well.

    The latest JAMSTEC Model precipitation forecast is out and looks like this for March-May.

    Notice how areas along the Texas Gulf Coast and points to the east and north are in the “green”? That suggests that wetter than average conditions will likely continue for the spring. I think this is especially true for areas just east of Texas. Farther west, average moisture is expected. However, it may take awhile for the pattern to get active for areas farther west. I have discussed this before, but I would caution those living west of where it has been raining to be prepared for some drier than average times, late winter into early spring. 
    I’ve said it before and I’ll say it agaid. “The trend is your friend when it comes to forecasting.”  Those who have been getting rain will likely continue to get it. Those who haven’t likely won’t for awhile, until the pattern changes later on.