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Weather Wise

published: June 14th 2019
by: Brian Bledsoe

A look at  the next three months
    We’ve been pretty blessed in not having to deal with drought lately.  Here we are in July, and we haven’t had any long lasting bouts of heat or dryness. The drought monitor below shows that we are still in really good shape.

    Granted, there are some small pockets in the far southern part of Texas that could use a drink, but that may come during the upcoming tropical storm /hurricane season.  We’ll see…
    The following maps are from the latest Euro Model Seasonal Forecast.  
Temperature Forecast

Precipitation Forecast

    It paints August as being drier and warmer than average for most of Texas and the Gulf Coast. This would indicate a pretty inactive Gulf of Mexico, when it comes to tropical storm development.
Temperature Forecast

Precipitation Forecast

    The month of September is a little better in terms of moisture, but it still paints Southeast Texas as drier than average.  Warmer than average,  too… It seems to favor locations farther east with the better prospects of tropical rains or hurricane influence. Look at Florida...pretty clear cut wet signal. That indicates either one big storm, or multiple storms impacting the area.
Temperature Forecast

Precipitation Forecast

    October isn’t a whole lot different in terms of moisture or temperature, as there is still a dry signal for Southeast Texas and parts of the Gulf Coast. Florida continues to be wet…  Again, this could be due to one big storm, or multiple storms. Time will tell...
    Given the maps above, we may be about to enter a few months of drier than average weather for areas that haven’t had to be concerned lately. And if the maps are a “tell” for anything, it would also appear that the Eastern Gulf of Mexico and up the Mid-Atlantic had better be on the lookout for some tropical storms and/or hurricanes this upcoming late summer and fall.  I’ll see all of you at the Texas A&M Beef Cattle Short Course in less than a month!

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