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Whether you are looking for long range forecasts, or current weather provided to you by our Accuweather feature, southernlivestock.com is your best source for an accurate weather forecast. Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe, author of Weather Wise, is one of the nation’s premier long range weather forecasters.
Weather Wise
published: October 29th 2021 by: Brian Bledsoe
Analog years for the next several months Analog years are important when considering a long range forecast. Looking at the setup that occurred in past years and comparing it to present conditions isn’t an easy task....
Weather Wise
published: August 6th 2021 by: Brian Bledsoe
The article deadline precludes me from putting in the model output that will be available in early August. However, I wanted to give you an updated look at what they were saying when they came out in early July....
Weather Wise
published: April 2nd 2021 by: Brian BledsoeIs La Niña Done?
Is La Niña Done? In recent weeks, we have seen some changes take place with the ongoing La Niña episode, primarily in that it has weakened by quite a bit. The series of graphics below shows that trend....
Weather Wise
published: March 5th 2021 by: Brian Bledsoe
Meteorological Winter Summary Well folks, the “official” end to winter has come and gone. Meteorological winter runs from December through February. I know that many of us can still see winter before or beyond that time frame....
Weather Wise
published: October 30th 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
The latest on La Niña I have talked a lot about the La Niña that is present and how it will play a large role in the seasonal forecast. With this in mind, I want to share the latest precipitation forecast from the NMME Model....
Weather Wise
published: October 2nd 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
La Niña status and an updated look at analog years for the upcoming winter We've been writing about La Niña for months now. It is established and is getting stronger. You can see the sea surface anomalies trend colder (bluer) during the past several weeks, not only at the surface: But beneath the surface too: Most models continue to show La Niña prevailing for the next several months....
Weather Wise
published: September 4th 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
A look at current sea surface temperature anomalies show still plenty of heat content globally, but also the colder than average (La Niña) signal across the equatorial Pacific. As of Aug.13th, the Climate Prediction Center had the chance for La Niña development this fall at 60% and the chance it continues through winter at 55%....
Weather Wise
published: May 29th 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
La Niña development update While we were pretty sure about some of the signals, ENSO forecasting this time of year is always tough. Models struggle in the spring, and this is affectionately called the "spring predictability barrier"....
Weather Wise
published: May 1st 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
Most of the region is not suffering from drought. However, there are a few locations that could surely use a drink. The latest Drought Monitor shows that below… Folks that live in far South/Southeast Texas are in the grips of some significant dryness, while most of the state to the north is in fine shape....
Weather Wise
published: April 3rd 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
One thing I continue to watch for is how the Pacific Ocean keeps changing. This is important, because it has been in a relative warm phase for the past five or so years. When it starts to cool off, the potential for a La Niña episode increases, which can cause drought issues for the Western/Southern Plains....
Weather Wise
published: March 6th 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
I haven’t had to talk much about La Niña during the past few years. In fact, we haven’t had much problem with it for quite some time. However, there are a few signs that show the Pacific cooling down a bit, and that is always something that piques my interest....
Weather Wise
published: February 20th 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
Last 30 days and latest JAMSTEC Model Forecast The last 30 days have certainly been better for many areas, but other areas didn’t do as well. The map below shows precipitation anomaly in inches....
Weather Wise
published: January 10th 2020 by: Brian Bledsoe
Drought update and spring preview Hey folks, I hope you all had a great holiday season! I had plenty of time off and enjoyed it all with my family. Here is the latest Drought Monitor… Obviously, some areas of Texas are not looking too good....
Weather Wise
published: October 4th 2019 by: Brian Bledsoe
Drought update and a look ahead With the exception of the far east and southeast part of Texas (rainfall from Imelda), the rest of Texas continues to slip deeper and deeper into this “flash drought”....
Weather Wise
published: September 6th 2019 by: Brian Bledsoe
Drought creeping across Texas I mentioned this in my previous article and hit it pretty hard at the Beef Cattle Short Course...drought continues to creep across Texas. The map below shows how many inches above and below average for the region....
Weather Wise
published: June 14th 2019 by: Brian Bledsoe
A look at the next three months We’ve been pretty blessed in not having to deal with drought lately. Here we are in July, and we haven’t had any long lasting bouts of heat or dryness....
Weather Wise
published: May 31st 2019 by: Brian Bledsoe
Heavy rains continue Last month, I talked about how the wet pattern wasn’t going to break and we were really going to have to start worrying about flooding. Well, the heavy rains have not let up for many of us and have only expanded in northern areas....
Weather Wise
published: May 3rd 2019 by: Brian Bledsoe
Recent wet weather trends may continue Well, if rain is what you were looking for, many of you have received it. The map below shows precipitation % of average during the past 30 days....
Weather Wise
published: April 5th 2019 by: Brian Bledsoe
April-May outlook Soil moisture Right now, most of the Plains are running at or above average when it comes to soil moisture. This is something we think will be key during the thunderstorm season....
Weather Wise
published: August 10th 2018 by: Brian Bledsoe
I know we are still in the thick of summer, but that will change before you know it. I have been looking at a lot of different models and data. I always want to share that information with you, as it provides some insight as to what we might see....
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