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Harvey may be visiting Texas

published: August 22nd 2017
source: weather.com

What was once Tropical Storm Harvey is now expected to have a second wind later this week in the Bay of Campeche and southwest Gulf of Mexico, bringing a threat of heavy rain and gusty winds to eastern Mexico and parts of south Texas.

Hostile winds aloft shredded Harvey's circulation Saturday over the Caribbean Sea, and the National Hurricane Center issued its final advisory.

What is left of Harvey is a cluster of disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the Yucatan Peninsula to Belize and Guatemala.

A hurricane hunter aircraft investigated the remnants of Harvey Sunday afternoon and found that the system hadn't regenerated into a tropical depression or tropical storm because it lacked a well-defined center of circulation, and there was also no indication of tropical-storm-force winds. This was still the case on Monday, according to satellite imagery and surface observations.

Harvey's Remnants

Harvey's Remnants

The area highlighted is where Harvey could reform this week.

Additional hurricane hunter flights are currently scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday to investigate Harvey's remnants.

Through Tuesday, Harvey's remnant will continue to spread its clusters of locally heavy rain from parts of Honduras and Nicaragua northward into Belize, Guatemala and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, including Cancún and Cozumel

This heavy rain could trigger flash flooding in Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula, particularly over higher terrain.

Rainfall Forecast Through Wednesday

Rainfall Forecast Through Wednesday

Localized higher amounts are possible.

By Wednesday, Harvey's remnants will move into the Bay of Campeche (southwest Gulf of Mexico) where conditions are likely to be more favorable for the system to regain its circulation and become a tropical depression or tropical storm again.

The majority of forecast guidance at this time suggests a reborn Harvey could then track northwestward toward the coast of eastern Mexico or Deep South Texas by Friday.

Residents and visitors in eastern Mexico and south Texas should continue to follow the progress of Harvey's remnants, as uncertainty remains with forecast details.

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