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Weather Wise

published: November 26th 2021
by: Brian Bledsoe

Latest long range model update

Last month, we went over the current La Niña situation and the subsequent potential analog years. This month we’ll look at the latest computer model information from the NMME Model and the EURO Seasonal Model. Remember, brown means drier than average, with green meaning above average moisture. 
NMME Model Precipitation Forecast December - June


EURO Seasonal Model Precipitation Forecast
December - May


 

Both models are pretty concerning, with much of the Southern Plains having a pretty stout dry signal. Keep in mind, this doesn’t necessarily mean that there won’t be storms, but the frequency of GOOD moisture producing storms will likely be reduced. Parts of the region are dealing with drought or dryness at this time, and this type of scenario obviously wouldn’t be good. I’ll have another update on this next month.

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